PERT & CPM: Introduction

Analysis with the Help of PERT and CPM

Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) and Critical Path Method

 (CPM) are two crucial project management tools used to plan, schedule, and control complex projects. Both techniques aim to manage the time and resources necessary to complete a project efficiently. Below is a detailed and concise explanation of PERT and CPM, including their processes, benefits, and applications.

Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT)

PERT is a project management tool used to schedule, organize, and coordinate tasks within a project. It is particularly useful in research and development projects where time estimates are uncertain. PERT helps in estimating the minimum time needed to complete a project by considering variability in activity durations.

Key Concepts in PERT:

  • Three Time Estimates:
    • Optimistic Time (O): The shortest time in which an activity can be completed, assuming everything proceeds better than usual.
    • Pessimistic Time (P): The longest time an activity might take, assuming everything goes wrong.
    • Most Likely Time (M): The best estimate of the time required to complete the activity, assuming everything proceeds as normal.
  • PERT Formula:
    • The formula used to calculate the expected time (TE) for each activity is: TE = O+4M+P6
  • Critical Path:
    • The sequence of activities that determine the minimum project duration.

Steps in Conducting PERT Analysis:

  • Define the Project: Break down the project into individual tasks or activities.
  • Determine Dependencies: Identify the sequence of activities and their dependencies.
  • Estimate Time: Obtain the three time estimates (O, P, M) for each activity.
  • Calculate Expected Time: Use the PERT formula to calculate the expected time for each activity.
  • Construct the Network Diagram: Create a visual representation of the project activities and their dependencies.
  • Identify the Critical Path: Determine the path with the longest duration through the network, which is the critical path.
  • Update and Monitor: As the project progresses, update the time estimates and the network diagram.

Example:

Suppose a project has three activities (A, B, C) with the following time estimates:

  • Activity A: O = 2 weeks, M = 4 weeks, P = 6 weeks
  • Activity B: O = 3 weeks, M = 5 weeks, P = 9 weeks
  • Activity C: O = 1 week, M = 2 weeks, P = 3 weeks

Calculating the expected time (TE) for each activity:

  • TE for Activity A: TEA = 2+4(4)+66 = 4 weeks
  • TE for Activity B: TEB = 3+4(5)+96 = 5.33 weeks
  • TE for Activity C: TEC = 1+4(2)+36 = 2 weeks

Critical Path Method (CPM)

CPM is a step-by-step project management technique to plan and control complex projects. It focuses on identifying the critical path, which is the longest sequence of tasks that must be completed on time for the project to meet its deadline.

Key Concepts in CPM:

  • Activities and Events: An activity is a task that consumes time and resources, while an event marks the beginning or end of an activity.
  • Network Diagram: A graphical representation of activities and their dependencies.
  • Critical Path: The longest path through the network diagram, indicating the shortest time to complete the project.
  • Float (Slack): The amount of time an activity can be delayed without delaying the project.

Steps in Conducting CPM Analysis:

  • List Activities: Identify all activities required to complete the project.
  • Determine Sequence: Establish the order in which activities need to be performed.
  • Draw Network Diagram: Create a visual representation of activities and dependencies.
  • Estimate Duration: Determine the time required for each activity.
  • Identify Dependencies: Specify which activities depend on the completion of others.
  • Calculate Critical Path: Identify the longest path through the network diagram.
  • Monitor and Update: Regularly update the network diagram and critical path as the project progresses.

Example:

Consider a project with four activities (A, B, C, D) with the following durations and dependencies:

  • Activity A: Duration = 3 weeks
  • Activity B: Duration = 4 weeks (depends on A)
  • Activity C: Duration = 2 weeks (depends on A)
  • Activity D: Duration = 5 weeks (depends on B and C)

Creating a network diagram and identifying the critical path:

  • Path 1: A -> B -> D (Total Duration = 3 + 4 + 5 = 12 weeks)
  • Path 2: A -> C -> D (Total Duration = 3 + 2 + 5 = 10 weeks)

The critical path is A -> B -> D with a duration of 12 weeks.

Benefits of PERT and CPM

  • Improved Planning: Both PERT and CPM provide a structured approach to project planning, helping to identify task dependencies and critical activities.
  • Time Management: They help in estimating project durations more accurately and identifying the shortest time to complete the project.
  • Resource Allocation: These techniques aid in the optimal allocation of resources by highlighting critical tasks.
  • Risk Management: By identifying the critical path and potential delays, project managers can proactively manage risks and avoid bottlenecks.
  • Enhanced Communication: Visual network diagrams improve communication among project stakeholders.

Conclusion

Both PERT and CPM are essential tools for project management, offering structured methods to plan, schedule, and control projects. While PERT is particularly useful for projects with uncertain activity durations, CPM focuses on the critical path and helps ensure that project deadlines are met. Using these techniques together can provide a comprehensive approach to managing complex projects effectively.